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Bahrain sets out fiscal reforms to steady public finances

Bahrain’s government has rolled out a broad package of fiscal reforms designed to rein in spending, expand non-oil revenues and protect subsidies viewed as socially critical, signalling a renewed push to strengthen the kingdom’s balance sheet amid persistent budget pressures.

The reform programme, approved by the cabinet and outlined by the Ministry of Finance and National Economy, combines expenditure rationalisation with targeted revenue measures, alongside commitments to shield low- and middle-income households from the impact of cost adjustments. Officials framed the package as a continuation of Bahrain’s fiscal balance strategy rather than an austerity drive, emphasising economic resilience and social stability.

Central to the plan is tighter control over public expenditure. Ministries and government entities have been instructed to review operating budgets, delay non-essential capital projects and improve procurement efficiency. Authorities said duplication across agencies would be reduced and performance benchmarks tightened, with savings redirected towards priority areas such as healthcare, education and housing support. Wage bill growth, a longstanding pressure point, will be moderated through attrition and workforce optimisation rather than across-the-board cuts, according to officials familiar with the measures.

On the revenue side, the government is seeking to broaden income streams beyond hydrocarbons without imposing abrupt burdens on citizens. Adjustments to selected government service fees, enhanced collection mechanisms and the expansion of digital services are expected to lift non-oil revenues over the medium term. Bahrain already applies value-added tax, increased to 10% in 2022, and the authorities signalled that the focus would remain on compliance and base broadening rather than rate hikes.

A notable feature of the package is the explicit protection of subsidies for essential goods and services. Electricity, water and fuel support schemes will continue for eligible households, with eligibility criteria refined through income data and digital verification to limit leakage. Food subsidy programmes and social assistance payments are also set to be maintained, reflecting official concern about inflationary pressures and household purchasing power.

The reforms arrive against a backdrop of gradual fiscal improvement but lingering vulnerabilities. Higher oil prices over the past two years have eased immediate financing strains, yet Bahrain’s public debt remains elevated by regional standards, and the budget is sensitive to energy market swings. Credit rating agencies have repeatedly highlighted the need for sustained consolidation and structural reform to place public finances on a firmer footing.

Economists note that Bahrain’s approach differs from more abrupt adjustment paths seen elsewhere by sequencing measures and pairing restraint with social safeguards. “The emphasis on protecting subsidies while tightening spending elsewhere suggests an effort to preserve social cohesion,” said one Gulf-based fiscal analyst, adding that execution and transparency would be crucial to credibility.

Private sector participation features prominently in the reform agenda. The government aims to accelerate public–private partnerships in infrastructure, logistics and utilities to reduce upfront fiscal costs and improve service delivery. State-owned enterprises will undergo further review, with performance targets aligned to reduce reliance on budgetary support and encourage commercial discipline.

Labour market policies are also being aligned with fiscal objectives. Programmes to upskill nationals and incentivise private sector hiring are expected to continue, with funding prioritised for initiatives that demonstrate measurable employment outcomes. Officials argue that stronger private sector growth will ultimately ease pressure on public employment and subsidies.

The reform package has been shaped in consultation with regional partners and international institutions, reflecting Bahrain’s integration into Gulf financial frameworks. Support mechanisms agreed with neighbouring states in previous years remain in place, providing a financial backstop while domestic reforms progress. Government statements stressed that fiscal sustainability is a shared regional priority as Gulf economies adjust to long-term energy transition dynamics.

Business groups have offered cautious support, welcoming predictability and the avoidance of sudden tax shocks, while urging clarity on fee structures and implementation timelines. Consumer advocates, meanwhile, have focused on the effectiveness of subsidy targeting, calling for clear communication to prevent uncertainty among households.
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