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Hormuz draft shifts from force to escorts

Bahrain has circulated a revised United Nations Security Council draft on reopening the Strait of Hormuz that strips out explicit language on the use of force, reflecting a sharp diplomatic recalibration as backers of the measure try to avoid a veto and secure broader backing for action to protect commercial shipping. The latest text instead urges defensive coordination, including the escort of merchant vessels, after objections led by China and resistance from Russia and others slowed earlier versions of the proposal.

The move marks a significant retreat from Bahrain’s earlier push for a tougher mandate. When negotiations opened in March, the Bahraini draft, backed by Gulf Arab states and Washington, sought authorisation for “all necessary means” to keep the waterway open and described Iran’s actions as a threat to international peace and security. France responded with a more restrained alternative that avoided naming Iran directly, emphasised de-escalation and called only for strictly defensive measures consistent with international law.

That diplomatic middle ground now appears to be shaping the final text. According to the latest draft seen by Reuters, the resolution would strongly encourage states with an interest in the route to coordinate defensive efforts proportionate to the circumstances, including escorts for merchant and commercial vessels, while also backing measures to deter attempts to close or obstruct international navigation through the strait. What it no longer does is explicitly authorise force, a change diplomats say was made after Beijing warned that such wording risked legitimising unlawful escalation.

The stakes are unusually high because the Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints. The passage links the Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea and is the primary export route for oil produced by Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Bahrain and Iran. Official energy assessments describe it as one of the most important oil transit corridors in the world, with a large share of globally traded crude and condensate moving through it and Asian buyers, particularly China, India and Japan, among the most exposed to any prolonged disruption.

That commercial reality has given Bahrain’s initiative urgency as insurers, shipping operators and importing states watch the Security Council debate for signs of whether the waterway can be stabilised without widening the war. Reuters reported that oil prices have climbed since the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran intensified at the end of February, with Tehran largely closing the strait and maritime traffic falling sharply. The diplomatic effort at the UN has therefore become about more than maritime law; it is also an attempt to contain the economic shock spreading through energy and freight markets.

Yet the revised language also underlines the narrow room for consensus inside the Council. Any resolution needs at least nine votes in favour and no veto from the five permanent members: the United States, Britain, France, China and Russia. Diplomats told Reuters that the softer wording gives the measure a better chance, but its passage is still not guaranteed. China has argued that the underlying Strait crisis cannot be separated from the broader war and has said the fundamental route to a solution is a ceasefire rather than a mandate that could be read as authorising military operations.

For Bahrain and its supporters, the calculation appears pragmatic. A forceful draft that fails would leave the Council paralysed at a time when Gulf states are seeking an international framework for maritime protection. A diluted resolution, even if limited to defensive coordination, could still provide political cover for escorts and other security arrangements without crossing the threshold that would trigger certain opposition from Beijing and Moscow. That is why the evolution of the text matters: it shows the centre of gravity has moved from coercive enforcement to managed protection.

Iran’s position remains another obstacle. Reuters reported on Monday that Tehran said it wanted a lasting end to the war but pushed back against pressure to reopen the strait on terms set by Washington. At the same time, US President Donald Trump has publicly intensified pressure on Iran ahead of a self-imposed Tuesday deadline, adding volatility to a diplomatic process that is supposed to calm the shipping lane rather than turn it into another trigger point.
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