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Alphabet pulls ahead in AI-led stock race

Alphabet shares surged through 2025, delivering gains of about 65% and outpacing the roughly 40% rise posted by Nvidia, as investors rewarded a strategy that embedded artificial intelligence across core consumer and enterprise services rather than relying on a single hardware cycle. The performance marked a decisive shift in market leadership during a year when AI spending accelerated across global technology budgets.

The rally reflected confidence that Alphabet’s scale in search, advertising and cloud computing allowed it to monetise AI at multiple touchpoints. From generative features in search results to automated tools for marketers and productivity upgrades for enterprises, the company demonstrated how software-led integration can translate into durable revenue streams. By contrast, Nvidia’s growth, while strong, remained closely tied to demand for data-centre accelerators, exposing it to cyclical swings in capital expenditure.

Investors responded to evidence that Alphabet’s AI-driven search enhancements were lifting engagement without eroding advertising yields. New formats that summarise complex queries, suggest follow-up questions and automate campaign optimisation broadened the company’s appeal to advertisers seeking efficiency rather than sheer volume. Those gains were complemented by steady expansion in cloud services, where AI-native tools for data analytics and application development helped Alphabet close gaps with larger rivals.

Executives emphasised that the company’s advantage lay in owning both the data and the distribution channels. With billions of daily users across search, video and mobile platforms, Alphabet could deploy models at scale and iterate rapidly based on real-world feedback. That feedback loop, analysts said, shortened development cycles and reduced the risk of costly missteps that can afflict stand-alone AI products.

Nvidia continued to benefit from the build-out of AI infrastructure, supplying chips that power training and inference workloads at hyperscale data centres. Demand remained robust from cloud providers and sovereign AI projects, supporting healthy margins. Yet the stock’s slower pace relative to Alphabet underscored investor caution about concentration risk, particularly as competition intensified from alternative chip architectures and in-house silicon developed by large cloud operators.

Alphabet’s capital expenditure also rose sharply as it expanded data-centre capacity and custom silicon to support growing AI workloads. While higher spending weighed on near-term margins, the market appeared willing to look past the costs, betting that long-term returns would be amplified by software monetisation. Management signalled discipline in allocating resources, prioritising projects with clear pathways to revenue and user adoption.

Advertising remained the financial backbone of the group, and AI played a central role in defending that position. Automated bidding, creative generation and audience targeting tools reduced friction for small and medium-sized businesses, broadening the advertiser base. Video platforms benefited from recommendation engines that improved watch time, reinforcing pricing power even as competition for digital ad budgets intensified.

Cloud revenue added a second engine of growth. Enterprises migrating workloads sought integrated AI services rather than piecemeal solutions, favouring providers that could combine compute, data management and machine learning under a single umbrella. Alphabet’s progress in this area helped narrow losses in its cloud division and strengthened the investment case that AI could accelerate a path to sustained profitability.

Market strategists noted that the contrast between Alphabet and Nvidia highlighted two distinct AI investment theses. One centred on selling the picks and shovels of the AI boom, capturing upfront spending on hardware. The other focused on embedding intelligence into everyday software, capturing recurring revenue as users adopt new features. During 2025, the latter narrative gained traction as enterprises scrutinised returns on large infrastructure outlays.

Regulatory scrutiny and ethical concerns around AI deployment remained a backdrop for the sector. Alphabet faced ongoing questions about data use, competition and content moderation, issues that carry financial and reputational risk. However, the company’s emphasis on responsible deployment frameworks and transparency helped reassure investors that compliance costs would be manageable relative to the scale of opportunity.
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