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Bitcoin keeps lead as US crypto revives

U. S. retail engagement with crypto has climbed back to levels last seen in mid-2025, according to a Deutsche Bank consumer survey, offering a sign that appetite for digital assets is recovering even as confidence in bitcoin’s price outlook remains fragile. The rebound appears strongest in the United States, where adoption rose to 12% in March from 7% in February, while bitcoin kept its position as the dominant token among investors already in the market.

That mix of stronger participation and weaker conviction captures the market’s split mood. Consumers are returning, but many are doing so cautiously, with gold and the S&P 500 still preferred over bitcoin when respondents were asked where they would place new money over a one- to three-year horizon. In the U. S., the choice was relatively close, with the S&P 500 on 29%, gold on 26% and bitcoin on 24%, suggesting digital assets are regaining ground without yet becoming the default destination for household capital.

The survey, covering 3,400 consumers across the U. S., UK and EU, points to a recovery that is uneven rather than broad-based. Britain’s adoption rate edged down to 9%, while Europe held at 7%. That leaves the U. S. as the clearest source of renewed retail momentum, helped by bitcoin’s firmer performance in March and about $1.3 billion in inflows into institutional bitcoin exchange-traded funds during the month. Those flows matter because they suggest the market is no longer being driven only by speculative trading on offshore venues; regulated products are now shaping sentiment and liquidity in a more visible way.

Bitcoin’s resilience inside the crypto universe remains striking. About 70% of digital-asset investors across the surveyed regions said they held bitcoin, far ahead of ethereum and well ahead of stablecoins such as Tether and USDC. It was also the leading choice for future crypto investment, selected by 69% of U. S. respondents, 56% in the UK and 53% in the EU. That strengthens the case that, for many consumers, crypto exposure still means bitcoin first and other tokens a distant second. The broader market may have grown more complex, but retail behaviour remains concentrated around the original asset.

Yet the survey also underlines why this recovery should not be mistaken for unqualified optimism. A majority of respondents said they did not know where bitcoin would trade by the end of 2026. Among those willing to make a forecast, most expected it to finish below its present level of roughly $75,000. Only 3% of U. S. respondents thought bitcoin would revisit the $120,000 record high by the end of next year, with even lower readings in Europe and only slightly higher expectations in Britain.

That caution reflects the wider pressures hanging over the asset class. Deutsche Bank’s note said the first quarter of 2026 was marked by macroeconomic and geopolitical shocks, with bitcoin down 22% before stabilising in March. For retail investors, that kind of volatility can encourage selective re-entry rather than broad enthusiasm. Many appear willing to hold or buy some crypto while still treating it as a tactical exposure rather than a core store of value.

The bigger significance of the rebound lies in what it says about the structure of the market. Bitcoin’s place at the centre of retail portfolios has survived multiple cycles, regulatory upheaval and the rise of thousands of alternative tokens. Even when households hesitate over price direction, they still appear to view bitcoin as the entry point, the benchmark and the asset most likely to endure. That is a useful distinction at a time when parts of the crypto sector remain associated with failed projects, unstable token economics and shifting narratives around utility.

Still, the report does not suggest a full return to the speculative fervour that once defined the sector. Consumers are showing more willingness to participate than they did earlier this year, but they are also signalling a preference for established assets outside crypto. That leaves bitcoin in an unusual position: dominant within its own market, yet still competing for mainstream investor trust against equities and precious metals.
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